Macro

Market weather

Context, not a trade gate. Nothing on this page changes a strategy's rules.

Market state

Temperature

Macro calendar

Sector momentum

Eighteen-gauge risk scan

All eighteen gauges update automatically (daily, weekly, monthly or quarterly, as their source publishes). Four substitutions are labeled on their cards: CFTC futures positioning stands in for NAAIM (public feed ended August 2026); the Chicago Fed BBK leading index for the Conference Board LEI (paywalled); the NY Fed household survey and the Fed's Z.1 household equity share for the two AAII surveys (bot-walled); and the AEGIS Bull & Bear composite for the BofA indicator (paywalled). A blank value means the source failed that day, not that it is hidden.

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Seven sell triggers (tracked)

The seven triggers are pre-registered on this page and scored like any other track: each firing is logged with its date, and SPY's path after it is published, hit or miss. They never say how much to sell.

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Four questions before you rebalance

  1. What changed since I bought — the thesis, or just the price?
  2. If I held cash today, would I buy this at this price?
  3. Which of the seven triggers has actually fired? (Not "feels toppy".)
  4. What is the cost of being wrong in each direction — taxes, slippage, missing the next leg?

Base rates

A base rate answers "when this gauge was here before, what did SPY do next?" — computed from the gauge's own history, published with n and the window, never promised.